About: Frazier Allen 
Frazier Allen, WMS, CRPS, Financial Advisor with F&M Bank
50 Franklin Street | Clarksville, TN 37040 | 931-553-2048
Web Site: http://www.raymondjames.com/frazierallen
Email:
frazier.allen@raymondjames.com
Frazier Allen's Articles:
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 24th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – Financial market participants seemed to care little about Putin’s annexation of Crimea, but freaked out following a Yellen comment taken out of context. An upside surprise in the Philadelphia Fed Index help restore positive sentiment in equities.
As was widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee tapered the monthly pace of asset purchases by another $10 billion (to $55 billion beginning in April).
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 16th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – Next week, the focus will be on the Fed’s policy decision and Janet Yellen’s first press briefing as Fed chair. The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to taper the monthly pace of asset purchases by another $10 billion (to $55 billion).
Policymakers are also expected to tweak the language of the forward guidance (the Fed’s conditional commitment to keep the overnight lending rate exceptionally low). Specifically, we can expect the FOMC to discard the 6.5% unemployment rate threshold.
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 9th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – There was plenty of fresh economic data, but most of it was distorted by the weather (which can have different effects depending on which areas of the country get hit).
Nonfarm payrolls rose by 175,000 in the initial estimate for February (median forecast: +150,000, although market participants were likely braced for about +130,000). Figures for December and January were revised a net 25,000 higher.
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 2nd, 2014
Clarksville, TN – There were relatively few surprises in the economic data reports. Real GDP rose at a 2.5% annual rate in the 2nd estimate for 4Q13 (vs. +3.2% in the advance estimate).
Consumer spending was not as strong as estimated earlier, but was still respectable (a +2.6% pace, vs. +3.3%). Business fixed investment was revised higher (+7.3%, vs. +3.8%).
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 23rd, 2014
Clarksville, TN – Poor weather continued to have an impact on the economic data. Residential construction and existing home sales fell more than anticipated in January. However, financial market participants seemed to be more willing to dismiss bad economic numbers (as being due to the weather) – U.S. markets also ignored turmoil in the Ukraine.
The CPI rose modestly in January, continuing a low trend. The new and improved Producer Price Report suggested relatively modest pipeline inflation pressures.
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 16th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – In her first monetary policy testimony to Congress, Fed Chair Janet Yellen appeared calm, confident, and in charge.
She pledged continuity in monetary policy and regulatory reform. While “not on a preset path,” the monthly pace of asset purchases will likely be reduced “in further measured steps at future meetings” (which is widely interpreted as -$10 billion per Fed policy meeting).
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 9th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – The January Employment Report was a mixed bag. Nonfarm payrolls rose by a less-than-expected 113,000 (vs. a median forecast of +185,000), following a subpar 75,000 gain in December.
However, seasonal adjustment and weather effects added uncertainty to the results. Details suggest that the weather may not have been much worse than a normal January, but December weather was more unfavorable.
Frazier Allen
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Stocks hesitate as expected after a strong rally
Clarksville, TN – U.S. stocks had a great run in 2013 with major indices up 27% to 38%, but that momentum lost a bit of steam in January and the first hours of February trading.
The pullback toward the end of January seems to reflect investor concern about turmoil in emerging markets in general, and specifically, about a drop in Argentina’s currency and a deceleration of Chinese manufacturing.
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 3rd, 2014
Clarksville, TN – Real GDP rose at a 3.2% annual rate in the advance estimate for 4Q13, about as expected, but the details were a bit surprising. Consumer spending and business fixed investment, the key components, each rose at a respectable pace.
However, inventory growth, already elevated in 3Q13, rose further (and will likely subtract from GDP growth in 1H14). Net exports (a smaller trade deficit) added. Residential home building and government subtracted. Personal income figures rose meagerly in 4Q13, suggesting that we may see some slowing in spending ahead.
Frazier Allen
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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of January 26th, 2014
Clarksville, TN – With a thin economic calendar, U.S. investors typically focus on other things. Sometimes, that’s earnings reports (which have been generally good). Other times, it’s overseas developments.
While the economic situation seems to be improving in the United Kingdom and in Europe, the rest of the world is looking a bit shakier. There have been a number of concerns about individual countries in recent weeks (China, Turkey, Argentina, and so on), but these concerns appear to have now gelled into anxieties about emerging economies in general, which has weighed against U.S. stock market sentiment.
Frazier Allen
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